Showing posts with label Mining. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Mining. Show all posts

Saturday 28 May 2022

DATA MINING

 DATA MINING

INTRODUCTION

Data mining is the process of sorting through large data sets to identify patterns and establish relationships to solve problems through data analysis. Data mining tools allow enterprises to predict future trends. In data mining, association rules are created by analyzing data for frequent if/then patterns, then using the support and confidence criteria to locate the most important relationships within the data. Support is how frequently the items appear in the database, while confidence is the number of times if/then statements are accurate.

Data mining techniques are used in many research areas, including mathematics, cybernetics, genetics and marketing. While data mining techniques are a means to drive efficiencies and predict customer behavior, if used correctly, a business can set itself apart from its competition through the use of predictive analysis. Web mining, a type of data mining used in customer relationship management, integrates information gathered by traditional data mining methods and techniques over the web. Web mining aims to understand customer behavior and to evaluate how effective a particular website is.

In general, the benefits of data mining come from the ability to uncover hidden patterns and relationships in data that can be used to make predictions that impact businesses. Specific data mining benefits vary depending on the goal and the industry. Sales and marketing departments can mine customer data to improve lead conversion rates or to create one-to-one marketing campaigns. Data mining information on historical sales patterns and customer behaviors can be used to build prediction models for future sales, new products and services.

DEFINITION OF DATA MINING

Data mining is a process used by companies to turn raw data into useful information. By using software to look for patterns in large batches of data, businesses can learn more about their customers to develop more effective marketing strategies, increase sales and decrease costs. Data mining depends on effective data collectionwarehousing, and computer processing.

The data mining process breaks down into five steps. First, organizations collect data and load it into their data warehouses. Next, they store and manage the data, either on in-house servers or the cloud. Business analysts, management teams and information technology professionals access the data and determine how they want to organize it. Then, application software sorts the data based on the user's results, and finally, the end-user presents the data in an easy-to-share format, such as a graph or table.

HISTORY OF DATA MINING

Data mining is everywhere, but its story starts many years before Moneyball and Edward Snowden. The following are major milestones and “firsts” in the history of data mining plus how it’s evolved and blended with data science and big data.

Data mining is the computational process of exploring and uncovering patterns in large data sets a.k.a. Big Data. It’s a subfield of computer science which blends many techniques from statistics, data science, database theory and machine learning.

-          Year 1763: Thomas Bayes’ paper is published posthumously regarding a theorem for relating current probability to prior probability called the Bayes’ theorem. It is fundamental to data mining and probability, since it allows understanding of complex realities based on estimated probabilities.

-          Year 1805: Adrien-Marie Legendre and Carl Friedrich Gauss apply regression to determine the orbits of bodies about the Sun (comets and planets). The goal of regression analysis is to estimate the relationships among variables, and the specific method they used in this case is the method of least squares. Regression is one of the key tools in data mining.

-          Year 1936: This is the dawn of computer age which makes possible the collection and processing of large amounts of data. In a 1936 paper, On Computable Numbers, Alan Turing introduced the idea of a Universal Machine capable of performing computations like our modern day computers. The modern day computer is built on the concepts pioneered by Turing.

-          Year 1943: Warren McCulloch and Walter Pitts were the first to create a conceptual model of a neural network. In a paper entitled A logical calculus of the ideas immanent in nervous activity, they describe the idea of a neuron in a network. Each of these neurons can do 3 things: receive inputs, process inputs and generate output.

-          Year 1965: Lawrence J. Fogel formed a new company called Decision Science, Inc. for applications of evolutionary programming. It was the first company specifically applying evolutionary computation to solve real-world problems.

-          Year 1970s: With sophisticated database management systems, it’s possible to store and query terabytes and petabytes of data. In addition, data warehouses allow users to move from a transaction-oriented way of thinking to a more analytical way of viewing the data. However, extracting sophisticated insights from these data warehouses of multidimensional models is very limited.

-          Year 1975: John Henry Holland wrote Adaptation in Natural and Artificial Systems, the ground-breaking book on genetic algorithms. It is the book that initiated this field of study, presenting the theoretical foundations and exploring applications.

-          Year 1980s: HNC trademarks the phrase “database mining.” The trademark was meant to protect a product called DataBase Mining Workstation. It was a general purpose tool for building neural network models and now no longer is available. It’s also during this period that sophisticated algorithms can “learn” relationships from data that allow subject matter experts to reason about what the relationships mean.

-          Year 1989: The term “Knowledge Discovery in Databases” (KDD) is coined by Gregory Piatetsky-Shapiro. It also at this time that he co-founds the first workshop also named KDD.

-          Year 1990s: The term “data mining” appeared in the database community. Retail companies and the financial community are using data mining to analyze data and recognize trends to increase their customer base, predict fluctuations in interest rates, stock prices, customer demand.

-          Year 1992: Bernhard E. Boser, Isabelle M. Guyon and Vladimir N. Vapnik suggested an improvement on the original support vector machine which allows for the creation of nonlinear classifiers. Support vector machines are a supervised learning approach that analyzes data and recognizes patterns used for classification and regression analysis.

-          Year 1993: Gregory Piatetsky-Shapiro starts the newsletter Knowledge Discovery Nuggets (KDnuggets). It was originally meant to connect researchers who attended the KDD workshop. However, KDnuggets.com seems to have a much wider audience now.

-          Year 2001: Although the term data science has existed since 1960s, it wasn’t until 2001 that William S. Cleveland introduced it as an independent discipline.

-          Year 2003: Moneyball, by Michael Lewis, is published and changed the way many major league front offices do business.  The Oakland Athletics used a statistical, data-driven approach to select for qualities in players that were undervalued and cheaper to obtain. In this manner, they successfully assembled a team that brought them to the 2002 and 2003 playoffs with 1/3 the payroll.

-          Year 2015: In February 2015, DJ Patil became the first Chief Data Scientist at the White House. Today, data mining is widespread in business, science, engineering and medicine just to name a few. Mining of credit card transactions, stock market movements, national security, genome sequencing and clinical trials are just the tip of the iceberg for data mining applications. Terms like Big Data are now commonplace with the collection of data becoming cheaper and the proliferation of devices capable of collecting data.

-          Present (2020) - Finally, one of the most active techniques being explored today is Deep Learning. Capable of capturing dependencies and complex patterns far beyond other techniques, it is reigniting some of the biggest challenges in the world of data mining, data science and artificial intelligence.

 

TECHNIQUES OF DATA MINING

Data mining is highly effective, so long as it draws upon one or more of these techniques:

1. Tracking patterns. One of the most basic techniques in data mining is learning to recognize patterns in your data sets. This is usually a recognition of some aberration in your data happening at regular intervals, or an ebb and flow of a certain variable over time.

2. Classification. Classification is a more complex data mining technique that forces you to collect various attributes together into discernable categories, which you can then use to draw further conclusions, or serve some function.

3. Association. Association is related to tracking patterns, but is more specific to dependently linked variables. In this case, you’ll look for specific events or attributes that are highly correlated with another event or attribute.

4. Outlier detection. In many cases, simply recognizing the overarching pattern can’t give you a clear understanding of your data set. You also need to be able to identify anomalies, or outliers in your data.

5. Clustering. Clustering is very similar to classification, but involves grouping chunks of data together based on their similarities. 

6. Regression. Regression, used primarily as a form of planning and modeling, is used to identify the likelihood of a certain variable, given the presence of other variables.

7. Prediction. Prediction is one of the most valuable data mining techniques, since it’s used to project the types of data you’ll see in the future. In many cases, just recognizing and understanding historical trends is enough to chart a somewhat accurate prediction of what will happen in the future.

 

REFERENCES

M.S. Chen.J.Han and P.S. Yu. Data mining: An overview from a database perspective. IEEE transactions on Knowledge and data engineering 8:866.

Feldman, Ronen, Will Klosgen, and Amir Zilberstein. “Visualization techniques to explore data mining results for document collections.”, In Proceedings ofthe Third Annual Conference on KnowledgeDiscovery and Data Mining (KDD), Newport Beach, 1997

Koperski, J. Adhikary and J. Han, "Spatial Data Mining: Progress and Challenges", SIGMOD'96Workshop on Research Issues in Data Mining and Knowledge Discovery DMKD'96, Montreal,Canada.

Wednesday 25 May 2022

EFFECTS OF ABANDONED MINING SITES ON REAL ESTATE TRANSACTIONS IN AZARA, AWE LOCAL GOVERNMENT AREA, NASARAWA STATE

 


EFFECTS OF ABANDONED MINING SITES ON REAL ESTATE TRANSACTIONS IN AZARA, AWE LOCAL GOVERNMENT AREA, NASARAWA STATE

 

ABSTRACT

Mining activities apart from adding to the revenue base of individuals, families and the government has negative effect on the land cover and residents that adjoins the area, particularly, where such activities are done outside the regulatory framework. It is in this light that this study assesses the effects of abandoned mining sites on resident’s health, environment and Real Estate business in Azara, a suburb of Awe LGA, Nasarawa state. Information relating to the effects of abandoned mining sites was obtained through administration of 155 structured questionnaires to residents of Azara, out of which 127 were returned and used for analysis. Descriptive statistics and Likert scale were used for the analysis. It was discovered that abandoned mining sites in the neighbourhood are breeding grounds for mosquitoes, death traps to young children, building collapse and degradable environment among others. It is therefore worthy to note from the findings that, the demand for land in the area is low and the amount paid for real estate properties in the area is adversely affected due to the negative effect of the abandoned sites on resident’s health and the environs. This study recommends that residents should be educated on building houses close to the abandoned mine sites and the areas should be fumigated. Also, the government of Nasarawa state should enforce environmental regulation to ensure that all disturbed land and abandoned mines are restored and reclaim to its original state after mining operations and approval to initiate mining should be mandatorily preceded by an Environmental Impact Assessment (EIA).

 

 

CHAPTER ONE

1.0  Introduction

1.1Background of the Study

Natural resources (metallic,non-metallic minerals and fossil fuels) are important to the development of any country. The general importance of mining sector has been documented to include foreign exchange, employment and economic development (Obaje and Abba, 2005, Nwajiuba 2000).

Artisanal and small-scale mining is a means of livelihood adopted primarily in rural areas. This is sometimes called informal sector, which is outside the legal and regulatory framework (Azubike, 2011). When not formalized, organised, planned and controlled,artisanal and small-scale mining can be viewed negatively by government and environmentalist because of its potential for environmental damage, social disruption and conflicts (Opafunso, 2010).

Abandon mining sites are areas of mining that are no longer maintained or put to mining land use. These abandoned mining sites have spill over effect on the amount paid for Real Estate/properties in the areas where mining activities has taken place. This is as a result of its negative consequences in the environment (Yacim, 2013).

It is based on the above that this study is set to assess the effects of abandoned mining sites on real estate transactions in Azara, Awe local government area of Nasarawa state. Such a study will highlight the influence of abandoned mining sites on the value of propertiesproximate to the abandoned mining sites and in other areas of Azara.

 

1.2Statement of the Problem

Transaction in real estate is a function of demand and supply. The demand for land in the study area seems to be lopsided in favour of some areas as against some. It is to this end that this research seeks to assess the effects of abandoned mining sites on real estate transactions and how abandoned mine sites affects the residents and residential environments.

1.3Aim and Objectives

This study is aimed at assessing the effects of abandoned mining sites on Real Estate transactions in Azara. To achieve this aim, the following objectives were formulated;

1-      To identify areas of abandoned mine site in Azara.

2-      To identify the causes of abandoned mine site in the study area.

3-      To identify the problems associated with abandoned mine sites.

4-      To identify the nature and type of real estate transactions

5-      To determine the effects of abandoned mining sites on residents and Real Estate transactions.

6-      To proffer solution or suggest policy recommendations.

1.4Research Question

The study seeks to provide answer to the following questions:

1-      Where are the areas of abandoned mine sites found in Azara?

2-      What causes of abandoned mine in the study area?

3-      What are the problems associated with abandoned mine sites?

4-      What is the nature and type of real estate transactions in Azara?

5-      What are the effects of abandoned mining sites on residents and Real Estate transactions?

6-      What are the solutions or policy recommendations that can be proffered?

 

1.5 Significance of the Study

This research work will help to give solution to the problems associated with abandoned mining sites and serves as a guide to residents living close to the abandoned mining sites. It will also serve as a reference material to students, subsequent research and vital information to the environmental agency and Real Estate developers.

1.6 Scope and Limitations of the Study

This research work will emphasise on the study of the effects of abandoned mining sites on real estate transactions in Awe local government area, with particular emphasis on Azara town. It is however important to state that the research is confined to Azara area only and will dwell on Real Estate transactions in the study area.

Constraints Encountered

Though the researcher faced different challenges in the course of this research like manipulation of data by respondents for personal reasons, efforts were made to ensure that genuine data was obtained. Hence, all the data collected and presented on which all inferences and conclusion are made, were made as accurate as possible.

1.7 Definition of Operational Terms

It will be appropriate at this stage to define some terms as used in the carrying out of this study, viz:

-          Mining:refers to the extraction of mineral deposits from the surface of the earth of from beneath the surface.

 

-          Mining sites:  Mining sites are areas where ores for mining can be found. These may be above ground (sites) or underground (mines).

-          Abandoned mining sites: These are areas of mining that are no longer maintained or put to mining land use.

-          Real Estate: Real Estate or Real Property constitute of the bundle of rights and possession of land and landed properties.

-          Real Estate Transactions: refers to a system of transactions between landowners, land users and estate agents.

1.8 Historical background of the study area

Azara is a populated place, a suburb in Awe local government area of Nasarawa state. It is located at an elevation of 224 meters above sea level and its population amounts to 71,657.

Its coordinates are 80 22’0” N and 90 15’0”E in DMS (Degree Minute Seconds) or 8.36667 and 9.25 (in decimal degrees).

Azara is bounded by Benue and Taraba states from the southern landscape of Nasarawa state. The area is blessed with mineral resources such as Barites, Pyrite, Clay, Galena, Limestone, Sodium Chloride, among others.

Artisanal and small-scale mining of barite has become a major occupation of the rural mining communities in and around Azara especially during the dry season when the farming activity has ended. The activity provides a major source of income and uplifting the economic well-being of Azara community and environs. The major inhabitants of the region are the Alagos, the Koros, and the minor settlers such as the Hausa fulani, the Tivs and the Kambaris.

 

 

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